When is it that a 'climate scientist' is NOT being 'dire'?

Climate is never still, it seems the 'climate community' is the only to not now realise this, and a few journalists within the UK. 'Climate Doom & Woe' began 30 years ago with 'global cooling', progressed to 'global warming' and now seems intent on foisting 'greenhouse danger'. Seriously, how can these few 'scientists' expect to 'trade' any longer on only 'opinion', 'rhetoric' and press releases regarding more 'dire warnings'?

To save time retyping, you (and others) should look at
http://www.climateimc.org/?q=node/312

Notice the plot of Human population. From 500 million to over 5 billion in under 400 years, the most rapid rise within the past 100 years. The commonly quoted 'average temperature increase' is also of the planetary surface, and this represents ONLY that kinetic energy NOT as yet conducted to the atmosphere to then produce the effects of Turbulence, including Convection, which is displayed also in the motions of Oceanic currents.

The energy incident to the surface is seen in the plot of atmospheric energy absorbance, and is encompassed in the lower and upper Visible spectrum (where this energy is consumed by the process of Photosynthesis), and within the lower third of the UV spectrum (NOT REGION).

You will notice from the slides in the mentioned link that it is obvious that alterations to the planetary surface are inducing the redistribution to kinetic energy induction, and so are leading weather patterning away from what some would call the 'normal'.

Climate is presenting 'persistence', and NEVER permanence.

It should be realised that the climate is progressing out of a glaciation. These glaciations are seen to reoccur within irregularly occurring periods of varying length, see the last side below. This particular period of glaciations is already 2 million years old.

In the last glaciation (from which present climate is rising), there was permanent snow, with dependant fauna (and I assume flora) somewhere just north of today's Texas, as example, at around 15,000 years ago. 'Texas' itself would have been grassed heavily with ample water from melt as the glaciation reverted to the present warming period.

Now, we have much marginal terrain (desert like) within the planetary 'equatorial region'. The 'temperate region' is heavily covered in photosynthetic mass (if you imagine the forests removed by Humanity to be present, for illustrative purpose). The 'Polar Regions' are now just warming.

This indicates to the MAJORITY (many of the other ~500 Million tertiary educated members of the public, and also those interested in looking at what is taught pre-tertiary level) in regard to natural climate alterations, that what we are seeing as effect is primarily the NATURAL progressions of the primary CLIMATE oscillation; again see http://www.climateimc.org/?q=node/312 for more detail.

What 'climate science' tries to present however is a 'new phrase', as an example "Polar Amplification", as it seems linguistic dexterity is a more major component of 'climate education' than is SCIENCE, and common knowledge (and sense). Perhaps too much 'political science' is incorporated in to 'climate tutorials'.

It is indeed, as some have mentioned in this site, that too much 'politics' is used in reference to 'greenhouse warming'. It is that after the 'greenhouse hypothesis' FAILED to be validated in its three attempts, it was run into the political arena, where it remains as a platformed ideology, still invalid in it's implementations of SCIENCE.

The natural oscillation of climate is well KNOWN, documented and realised as EXISTENT. It is NOT as yet shown that any substantial alterations to this oscillation have been made. It IS noted that additions of KINETIC ENERGY have been made to some events linked to Turbulence. This is recorded as a small increase in surface temperatures, a measure of retained intrinsic KINETIC ENERGY generation within the MATERIALS of the surface. This is link to the alterations OF the MATERIALING present, due to the activities of Humanity within the past 400 years and in particular in the last 100 years.

These additions of kinetic energy will increase the AMPLITUDE of the short term oscillations of climate, but have little effect on the LONG TERM oscillation. The LONG TERM oscillation is defined by interactions of oscillators such as the planetary axial precession and orbital path variations. You also have the 'climate systems' of the Star Sol creating variations in energy output INDEPENDANT of our planetary oscillator's altogether.

As such the trivariant of axial precession, orbital variation and Solar Climate form one primary oscillator, with the Solar Climate being the greatest 'unknown' variant component, as an example. This alters the placement of land mass surface to the 'face' of the system star.

Is there 'compelling evidence' for this being 'the warmest period in the past 1000 years', the warmest its been for 5000 years with the highest rate of 'warming' for the past 10000 years with all this related to 'greenhouse concepts'? No not really, let us all think, ICE AGE, and consider when and why the ice retreated.

Are we at or near a peak in the NATURAL climate oscillation? If you look AT the numerous temperature plots about, you might note the 'symmetry' of the 'wobble' exhibited.

See the link again http://www.climateimc.org/?q=node/312 and additional comments.

If the overall oscillation was still upwards, there would be additive effects for the 'Positive secondary oscillator output' with the 'primary waveform'; this would also limit the 'subtractive interactions' effects as these would be working against the overall effect. You would see smaller periods of rapid rise into warmth with cooler periods in between.

If the overall oscillation was past peak and descending again, the 'secondary positive additions' would be 'subtractive' and the 'negative secondary additions' would be 'additive'. You would see rapid descent into mini cold period's tween small periods of relative 'warmth'. It is presently considered that the climate is in a warming period tween periods of cooling, or even glaciation.

The primary oscillation will 'carry' this mini (secondary) oscillation along, varying the extremes of the 'mini peaks and troughs' and the RATE of rise/decline between these shorter periods. You can reference any number of 'temperature' plots to note the symmetry of the 'wobble'.

This will be the case unless the primary oscillation is at a peak or trough, where the 'flatness' of the primary oscillator effect is made 'transparent' in effect, and we can see the secondary effects with greatest CLARITY.

Climate is never still, never has been still, and never will. It is Humanity that has labeled behavior and developed concepts relating to 'permanence' when perhaps the notion of 'persistence' would have been the better basis of definition.

Your's, Peter K. Anderson a.k.a. Hartlod(tm)
From the PC of Peter K Anderson
E-Mail: Hartlod@bigpond.com

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